Coronavirus Infections Predicted to Grow Exponentially: Outbreak Becomes Political
According to the Washington Post,
Coronavirus Infections Predicted to Grow Exponentially: Outbreak Becomes Political.
According to Bianco Research in Chicago as cited by Yahoo!, based on official China National Health Commission data,the geometric rate of transmission where every infected person can infect 2 to 2.5 people, we could be looking at 88,000 sick by February 3 and 315,000 ill by Feb 6.
China’s National Health Commission reported Monday that there are now 17,205 confirmed cases of coronavirus infection on the mainland, plus 15 in Hong Kong and eight in Macao. The WHO reported 146 confirmed cases in 23 countries outside China. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Sunday confirmed an additional case in California, involving a patient who had recently returned to the United States from Wuhan. That brings the U.S. case number to nine, with no deaths.
Scientists suspect the true number of infections may be many times higher than the official count. So far, 361 people have died, all but one in China.